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Polymarket: The market is betting that the US government shutdown will last beyond the end of November, with a probability of 75%.

By: odaily.com|2025/10/19 15:31:19

Odaily Planet Daily reported that the latest data from Polymarket shows that in the prediction contracts related to "When will the US government shutdown end?", the probability of the option "ending on November 30 or earlier" is 75%, while the probability of "ending before November 15" is 59%.

In the short term, the probability of “ending before October 24” is only 6%, indicating that the market generally believes that it will be difficult for the government to resume operations in the short term.

A certain new address has a short position on both ETH and ENA, currently experiencing an unrealized loss of approximately $1.44 million.

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